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1.Turkey is being bitterly criticized in the US
for failing to allow us combat troops to use Turkey as a launching pad
to open a second front in northern Iraq. There are indeed some who say
US and British soldiers are dying in higher numbers because of Turkey.
How would you respond to such claims and how would you evaluate
Turkey's stand so far. Was it an accidental no in the parliament or
did it reflect a coming of age of Turkish democracy.
The criticism of Turkey in the US is indeed bitter,
and extremely revealing. The Turkish government took the position of
over 90 percent of the population. That reveals that the government
lacks "democratic credentials," according to former Ambassador Morris
Abramowitz, now a distinguished elder statesman. The government is
"following the people," he wrote, instead of following orders from
Washington and Crawford Texas. That is plainly unacceptable. The view
he articulates is standard.
Turkey taught the US a lesson in democracy. That is
regarded as criminal. One can debate the reasons and the background,
but the facts are glaringly obvious, underscored even more
dramatically by the reaction in the US to similar crimes elsewhere.
Germany and France are bitterly condemned for the same reason, while
Italy, Spain, Hungary and others are praised as the "New Europe,"
because their leaders agreed to follow US orders in opposition to the
vast majority of the population, almost as much as in Turkey.
I do not recall ever having seen such demonstration
of intense hatred for democracy on the part of elite opinion in the US
(and to some extent Britain).
2. You have long argued that it was the
basic decency of the American people and not body bags that helped end
the war in Vietnam. What will it take to end this war ? What is
driving continued support for President Bush ?
Public mood is in the US is complicated. It's
important to bear in mind that last September a huge government-media
propaganda campaign was put into operation, which left the US
population on another planet as far as Iraq is concerned. Iraq's
neighbors, and most of the rest of the world, rightly despise Saddam
Hussein. But they do not fear him. In the US, and the US alone, the
majority of the population -- since September 2002 -- regards Iraq as
an imminent threat to US security. That was basically the wording of
the October 2002 congressional resolution authorizing the US of force.
After the September 11 attacks, virtually no one regarded Iraq as
responsible. By December 2002 the figure had risen to almost half the
population. By now it seems that a considerable majority not only
attribute the terrorist attacks to Iraq and believe that Iraqis were
on the planes that destroyed the World Trade Center, but also believe
that Saddam Hussein will soon carry out more such attacks unless he is
stopped now. Evidence for all of this is zero, and the claims have
been refuted by intelligence agencies and the leading specialists on
the topic. It is a truly spectacular achievement of propaganda -- an
achievement, incidentally, which is second nature to those running
Washington today. They are mostly recycled from the Reagan-Bush
administrations of the 1980s. They were able to retain political power
even though the public was strongly opposed to their policies, which
were quite harmful to the majority. They did so by regularly pushing
the panic button, with claims even more absurd than their current
ones: Nicaragua is a threat to US security, the Russians will bomb
from an air base in Grenada, etc.
Take away the fear factor, and the US is probably
much like the rest of the world with regard to the war in Iraq:
overwhelming opposition.
In the case of Vietnam, it took years before the
public turned against the war -- on principled grounds, unlike
educated elites and the business world, who finally came to oppose the
war too but on "pragmatic grounds": it was becoming too costly to the
US. The situation is far better now, because of the civilizing effect
of the popular movements of the past 40 years. But it remains
difficult.
3. Is this war truly the turning point in
the way international relations are conducted ? Are the Bushies really
trying to reshape the world and what impact will its outcome, whatever
you predict it to be, have on Israell and the Palestinian question.
They have proclaimed very explicitly, in the
National Security Strategy of September 2002, that they intend to
control the world by force and to prevent any potential challenge to
their domination. It is reasonable to assume that part of the
motivation for the attack on Iraq is to establish the principle of
"preventive war," enunciated in the Security Strategy, as a norm that
can be followed elsewhere. The plans have aroused enormous fear and
opposition worldwide, and among the foreign policy elite at home.
True, some approve it. Among them are the ultra-right and large
sectors of Christian fundamentalist movements in the US, and others as
well. Osama bin Laden, if he is still alive, must be delighted: the
outcome surpasses his wildest dreams. Within a year, Bush and his
associates have succeeded in becoming the most feared and hated
political leadership in the world, as international opinion studies
reveal very clearly. If they are allowed to persist in their plans,
the future looks ominous.
For the Palestinians, the results are an unmitigated
disaster. Bush and Powell speak of their "vision," but are careful
never to describe what it is. That we can ascertain from their actions
in support of their most favored client, the official "man of peace,"
Ariel Sharon. Bush and Powell are now even on record as stating that
Israel can continue to expand settlements in the occupied territories
until some unspecified future when the US government will decide that
the Palestinians are making "progress."
Two-thirds of the US population support the
long-standing international consensus in favor of a two-state
settlement on the internationally-recognized (pre-June 1967) borders,
with minor and mutual adjustments. The US government has barred that
outcome for 25 years, and still does. The facts, though
uncontroversial, are scarcely known in the US. The Bush administration
has gone even beyond its predecessors in this regard. Apart from vague
talk about "visions" and "dreams," there is nothing to indicate that
these commitments have changed, unfortunately. Again, there is a lot
of work to do. |