| The US presidential election was a virtual
statistical tie, with estimated differences well within the expected
error range. A victor had to be chosen, and much attention has been
devoted to what the process revealed about the state of American
democracy.
Other aspects of the election may be more illuminating in this
regard. Almost half the electorate did not participate and voting
correlated with income, a long-standing "comparative peculiarity of
the American political system" that is plausibly attributed to "the
total absence of a socialist or labourite mass party as an organised
competitor in the electoral market", as the political scientist Walter
Dean Burnham puts it. Higher-income voters favour Republicans, but
class-skewed voting alone does not account for the vote for George W
Bush; his greatest success was among the white working class,
particularly males. By large margins they favoured Al Gore on policy
issues, and among voters concerned more with issues than "qualities",
Gore won handily. But the genius of the political system is to
displace such matters. Business and public attitudes commonly diverge:
on trade, budget, public spending, and much else. In such cases,
issues of great importance to the public either do not arise in the
campaigns or are obscured and overwhelmed by peripheral concerns.
Voting against interest is not new. In 1984 Reagan won a "landslide
victory" (with under 30 per cent of the potential vote) while voters
opposed his legislative programme by three to two. Such outcomes are
not surprising when half the population believe the government is run
by "a few big interests looking out for themselves"; the figure rose
to over 80 per cent as the "neo-liberal reforms" were more firmly
instituted.
These tendencies are reinforced by media and advertising campaigns
concentrating on style, personality, and other matters of lesser
concern to the "few big interests" that largely finance the campaigns
and run the government.
The director of Harvard University's Vanishing Voter Project,
Thomas Patterson, reports that today "Americans' feeling of
powerlessness has reached an alarming high", with 53 per cent
responding "only a little" or "none" to the question: "how much
influence do you think people like you have on what government does?"
The previous peak, 30 years ago, was 41 per cent.
During the campaign, over 60 per cent of regular voters regarded
politics in America as "generally pretty disgusting" in each weekly
survey. Three-quarters of the population took the process to be
controlled by rich contributors, party leaders, and the PR industry,
which crafted artificial candidates who cannot be believed even when
what they say is intelligible.
Post-election inquiries exposed ugly racist bias and electoral
chicanery in Florida and elsewhere. A numerically more significant
effect is incarceration. The day after the election, Human Rights
Watch reported that the "decisive" element in the Florida election was
the exclusion of 31 per cent of African-American men, prisoners or
permanently disenfranchised ex-prisoners, amounting to over 200,000
potential voters from a constituency that voted 90 per cent
Democratic. The same was true in other swing states.
Reviewing Senate elections since 1978, the academic researchers
Jeff Manza and Christopher Uggen conclude that "were it not for
disenfranchised felons, the Democrats would still have control of the
US Senate". Under Clinton and Gore, the prison population expanded by
almost half, extending draconian Reagan-Bush programmes. Twenty years
ago, the United States was similar to other industrial countries in
rate of incarceration. By now, it is far off the spectrum. The
escalation is unrelated to crime rates. Its central component is drug
laws that serve primarily as a means of social control: removing
superfluous people and frightening the rest. When the latest phase of
the "drug war" was designed in the 1980s, Senator Daniel Patrick
Moynihan recognised that "we are choosing to have an intense crime
problem concentrated among minorities".
"The war's planners knew exactly what they were doing," the
criminologist Michael Tonry observes, reviewing the racist and
class-based procedures that run through the system. One consequence is
the "decisive" impact on electoral outcomes.
Like the increasing sense of powerlessness, these programmes are a
natural component of the "neo-liberal reforms" instituted during the
same years. They are designed to transfer decision-making even more
than before to unaccountable private power systems, while also
creating a "virtual parliament" of investors and lenders that can
exercise "veto power" over government decisions thanks to financial
liberalisation.
Capital mobility has also been a powerful instrument to prevent
labour organising by threat of job transfer – technically illegal, but
highly effective (and well documented). A welcome consequence is the
"growing worker insecurity" that Alan Greenspan and others hail for
its contribution to "economic health": keeping wages, benefits, and
inflation low while increasing profits. The "neo-liberal reforms" have
also been accompanied by a notable deterioration in standard measures
of economic health worldwide, and have had a significant impact on
social indicators. In the United States these tracked economic growth
into the 1970s, and have declined since, now to about the level of 40
years ago. Economic rewards are highly concentrated.
Much of the population becomes superfluous for profit and power,
insecure, and politically marginalised as well, their aspirations
reduced to choice among commodities while others run the world.
The slogan "trust the people" is the Newspeak version of "trust the
corporations". Since "the people" understand all too well, mechanisms
must be instituted to divert and control them.
The constitutional system was designed "to protect the minority of
the opulent against the majority", in the words of its leading framer,
James Madison. Political power, he explained, must be in the hands of
"the wealth of the nation", men who can be trusted to "secure the
permanent interests of the country" – the rights of the propertied –
and to defend these interests against the "levelling spirit" of those
who "labour under all the hardships of life, and secretly sigh for a
more equal distribution of its blessings".
In a modern version, Walter Lippmann put it that the general public
are "ignorant and meddlesome outsiders" who should be mere "spectators
of action", apart from periodic choice among the "responsible men". An
unspoken premise is that the narrow category of "responsible men"
acquire that status by service to authentic power. Having done so,
they are to function in "technocratic insulation", in World Bank
lingo, undisturbed by the "outsiders". The doctrine, labelled "polyarchy"
by the political theorist Robert Dahl, is given even firmer
institutional grounds by the reduction of the public arena under the
"reforms". From this perspective, conventional in elite opinion,
George W Bush's election does not reveal a flaw of American democracy,
but rather its triumph.
|